Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.019732e-01 0.157488 0.223030 0.303542 0.397573 0.502078 0.625308
2025-12-28 4.271808e-02 0.108044 0.201739 0.331744 0.497104 0.692569 0.934291
2026-01-04 1.739558e-02 0.078709 0.184401 0.344819 0.560210 0.823981 1.158562
2026-01-11 7.648879e-03 0.066802 0.186618 0.380471 0.649966 0.987118 1.421119
2026-01-18 2.133262e-03 0.055090 0.184276 0.406371 0.724690 1.130121 1.658320
2026-01-25 3.252796e-07 0.039489 0.169101 0.409566 0.766538 1.230275 1.842273
2026-02-01 NaN 0.020541 0.137020 0.380317 0.759512 1.265050 1.943232
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007195 0.104250 0.342475 0.735348 1.274062 2.009237
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002348 0.088318 0.330507 0.746658 1.328369 2.131274
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000782 0.082697 0.336988 0.785296 1.419231 2.300072
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000014 0.073229 0.333511 0.807398 1.486931 2.438653
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.059027 0.316207 0.805704 1.520668 2.532318
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.063403 0.344352 0.881033 1.666060 2.777739
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.067479 0.372275 0.956907 1.813487 3.027586
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.066317 0.386766 1.010307 1.929113 3.235460
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.074184 0.424486 1.102796 2.100383 3.517255
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.078040 0.451980 1.178311 2.247833 3.767888
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.072736 0.455352 1.213255 2.337835 3.942769
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.055922 0.424355 1.188410 2.341821 4.003063
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.038557 0.384152 1.144357 2.316167 4.022305
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.031101 0.371413 1.147172 2.357374 4.130185
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.029310 0.378313 1.185487 2.450676 4.308458
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.025128 0.374612 1.203886 2.514424 4.446690